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SyndemicsLab/hep-ce

HEP-CE: A Hepatitis C Virus Microsimulation

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The HEP-CE (Hepatitis C Cost Effectiveness) model is a Markov chain Monte Carlo health state-transition model which simulates the spread and treatment of Hepatitis C Virus (HCV) in the United States. The model uses values and information derived from a variety of sources, including clinical data and relevant literature. HEP-CE is used to model the efficacy and cost-effectiveness of treatments, policies, and interventions aimed at controlling the HCV epidemic on a population-wide basis by understanding the effects of changes on individual persons' quality of life.

Table of Contents

What's New

The HEP-CE model you see here is a refactor of an earlier version of the model. This new, improved version attempts to improve upon key pain points in the previous incarnation, namely:

  • Converting to a Discrete Event Simulation structure
  • Improving readability
  • Simplify input file structure

Changes to Control Flow

This recapitulation of HEP-CE iterates across timesteps and events rather than over person lives, as past versions did. Each timestep (month), the simulated population is subjected to discrete events. Measurables are stored at the individual Person level and are written to a table at the end of the simulation.

At the top level, the model is broken down into three categories of events:

  • Person-Level Events
  • Clinical Events
  • Calculation Events

These categories are further broken into discrete events:

  • Person-Level Events:
    • Aging
    • Drug Behavior Changes
    • Acute HCV Clearance
    • Liver Disease Progression
    • Infections
    • Overdose
    • Death
  • Clinical Events:
    • HCV Screening
    • Linking to Care
    • Voluntary Relinking to Care
    • Fibrosis Staging
    • Treatment
  • Calculation Events:
    • Transmission (PreVenT)

Build Instructions

Dependencies

Unix-based Systems

Ensure that you have Ninja available in your environment, then run the following commands.

git clone [email protected]:SyndemicsLab/hep-ce
cd hep-ce
cmake --workflow --preset gcc-release

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Microsimulation Model Used to Display HCV Transmission Among a High Risk OUD Population

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